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Global Markets Analysis – 1 October 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


10.1日周三 马盘反弹多单谨慎持有

美国农业部周二报告显示,9月1日美国大豆库存为9.200万蒲式耳,为1973年以来40年间最低,低于分析师预测平均值3.400万蒲式耳。同时截止9月28日,美大豆收割率为10%,作物生长优良率为72%,较一周前高一个百分点。

当前美盘的情况是对2013年至2014年大豆结转库存吃紧的消息置若罔闻,更多的关注重点集中于美国大豆收割情况上,昨日晚间美大豆的下跌以及美原油的重挫,令美豆油12月合约再次下跌,终盘以中阴收盘于32.45。

马盘毛棕榈油基准12月,昨日期价高开上行首次站于60天线上,今天早盘小幅下跌,期价有所滑落,但整体仍处于60天线上方,前期的持续反弹行情仍延续中。

大陆内盘期货市场与证券市场由于10月1日国庆节举国上下休假,全体停盘,无交易。

小结: 美盘豆油继续低位震荡走势,马盘棕榈油延续前期反弹上行,二者短线走势不尽相同,宜分别观点对待。大陆内盘因国家法定假期停盘。个人观点认为马盘毛棕榈油反弹行情无盘面结束技术信号,前期多单继续持有。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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