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Global Markets Analysis – 10 April 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


10.04.2017 周一 美盘豆油延续低位右侧横盘 内盘 马盘 棕榈油出现情绪化下挫

美盘豆油5月合约,上周五晚间小阳K线红盘报收,今日周一亚洲电子早盘小阴K线表现——整体呈现低位的右侧横盘迹象,虽然期价未出现错列的阳K线上涨,但也未出现严重的期价下跌,短线横盘波动震荡迹象明显,我们继续保持超跌之后的蓄势待发酝酿反弹观点对待。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1709主力合约,内盘油脂今日周一盘中走势分化,豆油1709合约期价波澜不惊,呈窄幅横盘波动。棕榈油1709合约遭遇空头主力进场打压,期价盘中跌幅度较大,令前2日的涨幅尽失,追随马盘棕榈油情绪化运行痕迹明显。

马盘毛棕榈油基准6月,今天周一早盘减仓下行—–表明部分多头主力多单出逃,期价下跌幅度较大,拖累了内盘棕榈油早盘表现。仔细观察马盘棕榈油6月,当前期价整体还处于前几日横盘波动的下边轨底部低点位置,收盘价未明显跌破之前,前期多单谨慎持有。

小结:豆油品种横盘波动震荡,整体期价变化不大。棕榈油今日周一盘中出现大幅下跌—-令前几日的强势劲头有所收敛。在美盘豆油未出现明显的止跌企稳反弹动作发生前,整体油脂类商品情绪化走势较明显,内盘马盘多空主力“拉锯战”痕迹明显,在美豆油未明确给出短线走势信号指引前,我们继续以静制动的心态对待当前盘面。在美盘豆油未出现较大跌幅信号下,操作上:短线多单继续谨慎持有,不建议盲目新追空或砍仓多单等等操作,继续关注美豆油的短线表现。

[SUMMARY]
• Soybean oil moves sideways, as palm oil plunges.
• Before technical signals of US soybean suggest a rebound, the overall movement of edible oils is drive by sentiment.
• Conflict between long and short interests becomes more apparent.

[ACTION]
• Traders may retain short-term long position and are not recommended to turn short.
• Traders may pay close attention to the short-term performance of US soybean oil.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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