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Global Markets Analysis – 10 August 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


10.08.2016 周三 美盘豆油12月合约;期价反弹上涨至第一目标位

美盘黄豆连期价继续超跌之后的小幅反弹走势,美盘豆油12月合约期价也震荡走高,昨日周二晚间期价高点见31.91,已经触及我们报告中预期的压力线位置, 该位置的重要性我们昨日已经谈过,今天不再复述。美豆油短线走势临近关键技术位,后市短线是向上突破?还是受到阻挡下挫?是我们随后密切关注的重点,短线走势方向性指引尚待市场给出明确答案。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1701主力合约,在美盘豆油尚未给出清晰的方向指引前,今天内盘油脂商品在走势上出现犹豫,周三盘中十字星表现,多空力量均衡,多空双方在观望中等待美盘豆油给出明确答案。

马盘毛棕榈油基准10月,昨日冲高回落以带上影线的阳K线收盘,今天周三盘面以小阴K线表现-短线走势上也出现犹豫心态,在美盘豆油不明确前,在棕榈油局数据公布前,马盘棕榈也同样出现反弹上行到一定高度后的模糊走势状态,后市马盘棕榈油的具体表现也同样需要周边油脂类商品市场的指引。

小结:当前美盘豆油反弹上行运行到关键技术位,后市市场如何发展将成为市场投资人士目光关注的焦点-这将对内盘与马盘油脂商品后续走势有明显的影响作用。在美盘豆油尚未给出明确答案前,今天内盘与马盘油脂商品盘口语言略显犹豫与模糊,我们在短线角度保持反弹上行观点前提下-观点认为操作上继续多单持有,但在关键技术位位置,内心还要保持一种警惕心态-同样是“一颗红心两手准备”,万一市场出现不利局面,多单持有者可部分多单适量减仓,先把一部分利润“入袋为安”此为上策,待美盘豆油走势更清晰后,再做下一步操作上的打算。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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