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Global Markets Analysis – 10 December 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


10.12.2014 周三 美元指数短线出现回落整理

美元指数前期中线角度一直受QE3利好支持保持上行态势,当前已经上冲到月图表上2010年6月 和2009年3月的2次前高附近,在达到90.00左右出现了技术阻挡,由于前2次都是从该位置掉落下来,因此本次上冲到该位置同样出现了心理波动。短线上观察,美元指数12月8日创新高89.55后出现了冲高回落迹象,存在短线向下的技术调整要求。

美元指数的短线下挫,令全球大宗商品的压力骤然减轻,昨日晚间美黄金长阳上涨,一举突破日图表上方60天均线压力,黄金短线又出现走强迹象。

油脂商品市场中,美原油继续保持中短线下行态势未变,美豆油仍在箱体下沿32.00位置横盘震荡,期价即未下挫也未上冲,短线美豆油纠结。

大陆内盘豆油与棕榈油 1505合约,二者短线走势分化,盘中买豆油卖棕榈跨品种套利保护性操作明显。马盘毛棕榈油基准2月依然在我们前面提到的前波谷与60天线之间震荡运行,盘中下方有支撑上方有阻力。

小结:油脂类商品继续保持下探中的震荡行情,期价变化不大,行情走势较为清淡。考虑到美元指数出现回落整理要求,大宗商品的压力稍减。建议散户朋友稍微谨慎些,个人觉得短线油脂商品上空单可适当减仓,出场观望一下,谨防商品价格异动。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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