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Global Markets Analysis – 10 July 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


7.10 周四 油脂商品行情

美盘豆油12月,昨日晚间跌破下行通道的下轨线(2014年3月31日与2014年6月3日的日图表上低点连线(附图), 37.60一线的技术支撑位被下破,短线下跌加速迹象明显。而从中长线角度来说,期价再次来到价值投资区域,本波短线下探结束后,再次存在一个多单接盘机会,再未出现明显下跌结束信号前,接盘多单不可操之过急,短线上仍以看空观点对待。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油和棕榈油 1501合约,走势出现略有分化,豆油弱而棕油强迹象明显,豆油呈垂直下挫,跌势加速较猛,棕榈油跌势稍弱,呈横盘式下探,但整体来说大陆内盘油脂类商品仍延续惯性下跌行情中。

马来西亚毛棕榈油基准9月,昨天周三盘中见最低点2361,该价格为6月12日的最低点位置。今天早盘,惯性跳空低开,瞬间击破该位置的支撑作用,若今天尾市收盘于该点之下,恐后市仍有新低出现,回落行情延续中。

小结:油脂类商品均跌破技术支撑位,短线的回落下探行情延续中。昨天我们提到“不破不立”四字,未来几天我们关注的焦点是下“破”的具体程度到底如何?至于“立”目前来谈还稍早几天。后市观点上继续以短空长多看待。个人认为具体操作上延续昨天所提到的操作模式。

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This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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