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Global Markets Analysis – 10 November 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong





小结:美国总统特朗普近日访华,据中国商务部最新消息显示:这次中美两国经贸合作的签约总额达到了2535亿美元,创下了中美经贸合作史上的记录,也创下了世界经贸合作史上的新记录。其中跟我们油脂类大宗商品有关联的是—-中国承诺2017/2018年度,再向美国进口50亿美元的大豆(其他主要购买协议 包括300架飞机,基建设备材料等待)。当前期货市场基本面情况错综复杂,消息面的不确定性令期货市场油脂类商品短线走势出现异常波动,市场分析人士再次被市场玩弄于股掌,我们也要从新思考一下前几日油脂商品“瞬间转强”的可靠性。具体操作上:手中无仓单的稳健型交易者可暂时场外观望。昨日部分激进型散户交易者轻仓试盘的多单交易要保持谨慎,因为本次报告意外险呈现利空性质,谨防市场再度发生新的变化,后市稍有风吹草动可试盘多单平仓止损出局。让我们共同关注一下美盘黄豆连美盘豆油是否会再度出现下挫走势。

• Amid US President Trump’s visit to China, Beijing has pledged to import $5 billion worth of soybean, among other items, in the next year.
• Uncertainty is causing unstable market sentiment and unusual price movement.
• We shall focus on a possible decline of US soybeans and soybean oil in the next few sessions.

• Traders without positions may stay out of the market at the moment.
• Aggressive traders may reduce existing long positions, due to a surprisingly bullish USDA report.
• Traders are advised to prepare to liquidate long positions and stop losses, if necessary.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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