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Global Markets Analysis – 10 October 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


10.10.2014 周五 油脂商品仍僵持状

美盘期货市场豆油12月在低位仍处于小幅波动中,在农业部报告未公布前,期价变化不大,仍属于区间内震荡,市场分析人士预测,本次报告存在上调美大豆产量的可能,市场偏空消息的概率较大,今天美盘豆油亚洲电子盘有丝许走弱迹象。等待美国农业部明确的报告出炉。

马盘毛棕榈油基准12月,期价反弹到关键位置,近几日也出现在9月30日的前高位置止步不前的现象,在排除马币令吉特汇率走强不利影响下,传闻马来西亚10月初的棕榈油出口也有所下降,当前期价在2200整数关口遇到强大阻力,是继续反弹还是受阻,成为我们后市密切关注的焦点。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油和棕榈油1501合约,近期多空僵持现象更为严重,市场短线缺乏方向性走势指引,多空交投谨慎,期价呈横盘震荡,耐心等待美盘和马盘的油脂商品走势明朗。

小结:近期油脂商品短线走势模糊,期价呈小幅震荡波动,向上向下的运行空间均没能打开,横盘震荡的盘口语言明显。密切关注本次报告对盘面的影响力度。个人观点认为无单交易者场外观望。有部分反弹多单持有者谨慎持有,若报告呈严重利空,反弹多单可短线平仓了结出局。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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