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Global Markets Analysis – 10 October 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


10.10.2017周二在美国马来西亚重要报告出炉前油脂商品市场趋于谨慎

美盘豆油12月合约,昨日周一晚间中阳K线小幅上涨,短线技术性反弹走势延续中,我们继续短多思维对待。在本周四(10月12日),美国农业部将公布10月份供需报告,届时报告内容恐将会影响到短线油脂商品的走势,我们给予密切关注。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1801主力合约,在外围市场基本面不明朗情况下,今天周二盘面略有走软,市场多空主力均趋于谨慎,今天上午盘面上,豆油品种弱于棕榈油。

马盘毛棕榈油基准12月,今日走势与昨天相似,小十字星表现,盘中成交略显清淡。今天马来西亚棕榈油局将公布9月份棕榈油产量,库存,出口量等数据,在报告呈利多,利空不明朗前提下,马棕榈油小幅波动也是正常现象。

小结:美盘豆油短线反弹上行小拐点走势延续中,但考虑到本周四美国有重要报告出炉,大陆内盘豆油品种略有走软。马来西亚今天就有重要报告出炉,因此上内盘马盘棕榈油短线走势也趋于谨慎。今天周二盘面上,油脂商品普遍交投清淡,多空主力均在等待基本面情况的明朗,建议我们散户朋友也以静制动式耐心等待。具体操作上:新进反手多单谨慎持有,我们暂时以超跌之后的“弱势反弹”技术修复观点对待。

[SUMMARY]
• Uptrend of US soybean oil continues, but China soybean oil are moving the opposite direction.
• Malaysia palm oil will be more volatile as MPOB report released today.
• Traders may pay close attention to the upcoming USDA report, which will release on this Thursday.

[ACTION]
• Traders who are holding long position may retain it carefully, although the oversold condition has occurred in the market.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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