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Global Markets Analysis – 11 April 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


11.04.2017 周二 关注今日晚间美国农业部数据报告

美盘豆油5月合约,短线角度期价继续呈现横盘波动震荡走势,整体情况变化不大,短线走势无新意。今日周二晚间美国农业部将公布月度供需报告—-当前市场分析人士普遍预测本次报告将增加巴西与阿根廷的大豆产量(预测利空),具体数字如何我们密切关注(利多利空?)。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1709主力合约,今日周二盘面上豆油1709小阳红盘表现,而棕榈油1709合约,在昨日周一盘中中阴下跌之后,今日周二十字星表现,短线棕榈油表现较弱。

马盘毛棕榈油基准6月,受马来西亚国内产量增加 库存增加情绪影响,昨日周一盘中长阴K线下挫,期价下跌幅度较大,今日周二期价恐将在昨日阴K线右下角波动震荡,关注美盘豆油的后续表现。

小结:国际原油市场短线反弹上扬态势延续中,而植物油市场却未被带动起来。美盘豆油依然表现为延续横盘波动走势,我们继续保持以静制动的“混沌战法”不建议盲目操作交易。具体操作上:前期多单继续持有,耐心等待美盘豆油横盘之后的短线方向走势指引(此局面不可能一直横盘下去)。

[SUMMARY]
• As crude oil stages a short-term rebound, edible oils fail to follow suit.
• US soybean oil continues sideway trend.

[ACTION]
• Traders may maintain long position until US soybean oil shows a clear direction.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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