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Global Markets Analysis – 11 August 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


8.11 周一 马盘棕榈下挫 内盘抵抗

在美盘豆油12月上周五出现新低后,表明短线下蹲行情延续中,虽预测下方空间不应该很大,但在下探未完全结束前,市场后市短线表现仍会以疲软走势为主。

马盘毛棕榈油基准11月,在上周五创出新低后,本周一早盘继续保持下探走势,低开低走的短线表现,表明市场选择下破前低后,在寻找下方新的有效支撑点,未找到之前仍以短空观点看待。

内盘油脂类商品豆油和棕榈油1501主力合约,今天早盘市场表现强于马盘和美盘油脂商品。前期7月23日技术低点(前期我们预测的技术多单接盘拐点位置)未被下破,盘中下方多头主力护盘积极,早盘形成低开小幅高走的小阳K线,呈现出盘中抵抗,在美盘和 马盘均下破前低之后,该内盘油脂商品的下跌抵抗表现的可靠性值得怀疑。

小结:周一早盘,马盘毛棕榈油11月合约延续上周五下跌行情,短线技术走势上规规矩矩。内盘油脂商品周一上午走势较为怪异,盘中出现下跌抵抗,该抵抗的可靠性令人困惑,后市油脂商品仍存在继续下探的可能。个人看法是在具体操作上:马盘毛棕榈油继续保持日内短空操作模式,快进快出,不恋战。内盘油脂商品操作上场外观望更合时宜。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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