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Global Markets Analysis – 11 December 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


11.12.2014 周四 油脂短线行情震荡

美元指数短线回落整理,美原油继续保持中短线上的下行行情。

美豆油中线的下挫与长线的趋势线位置向上的支撑二者之间形成反向力,因而形成美豆油短线在下箱体部位横盘纠结,短线走势不明朗。

大陆内盘豆油与棕榈油,马盘毛棕榈油,周四早盘走势变化不大,仍属于下挫过程中的无序震荡走势,在美盘豆油未出现清晰走势前,内盘马盘恐仍延续近期震荡走势。个人认为持续等待美盘的短线指引。

小结:除美原油仍存在明显恐慌性下行行情外,其他油脂类商品逐渐趋于平静,期价波动幅度逐步变小,盘中成交多空主力均较为谨慎,震荡性短线行情下宜观望,耐心等待美原油下方的止跌企稳,同时密切关注美豆油箱体下沿位置的短线走势指引。个人观点认为短线空单少量持有或逢低减仓出局观点不变。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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