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Global Markets Analysis – 11 December 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


11.12.2015周五 本周油脂类商品抵抗性回落均线进行中

从本周初开始,美盘豆油3月合约,冲高之后的短线下挫回落行情延续中,昨日周四晚间出现中阳上涨,表明盘中有多头力量在抵抗中,盘中走势出现反复,但期价未突破本周一高点32.72前,仍以短线的回落整理看待。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1605主力合约,短线角度的回落走势延续中,特别是豆油1605合约,期价已经连续5天呈重心下移状态,虽然今天周五早盘出现红盘抵抗,但短线的回落整理仍未出现结束信号,我们短线角度的空单继续持有。

马盘毛棕榈油基准2月,昨日周四盘中在回落过程中,受下方均线的技术支撑,终盘以带下影线的小阴十字星收盘。今天周五早盘追随美盘豆油走高影响而高开,在回落整理过程中的这种期价反复为正常现象,在技术上未出现明显的确认均线结束信号出现前仍以抵抗性短空看待。

小结:油脂类商品整体期价回落整理进行中,虽然盘中期价出现反复现象,但在未技术上破12月7日前高前,我们仍建议短空观点对待。个人观点认为长线持趋势性反转观点的操作者多单继续持有。波段性质的中线多单,短线空单锁仓控制账户缩水模式的操作继续执行。短线单边操作的激进型操作者多单出局后的反手空单继续持有。建议密切关注下周市场的具体走势。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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