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Global Markets Analysis – 11 January 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


11.01.2017 周三 内盘油脂商品连续三连阳 多单继续持有

美盘豆油3月合约,期价从前几天低位往右侧延伸,期价略有走高(但走高幅度不够),初步形成回落整理之后的低位拐点形态(但还短一根右侧的中长阳K线指明),继续等待美盘豆油的后续表现。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1705主力合约,“三颗红小兵”K线成立,期价短线出现走强。特别是今天周三盘面上,今天红盘上涨的中阳K线,表明短线多头主力再度发力,后市短线角度存在走高要求,前期多单继续持有。

马盘毛棕榈油基准3月,本周一阳K线, 昨日周二阴K线, 今天周三盘面再度阳K线——–马棕榈高位的区间内震荡走势仍在延续中,期价呈现出阴阳K线波动震荡,我们继续保持以静制动的操作心态,不受短线的情绪波动不利影响而盲目操作,多单继续持有。

小结:美盘豆油出现久违的红盘表现,增强大陆内盘油脂商品多头主力信心,马盘棕榈继续高位区间内强势横盘震荡–当前油脂类商品整体逐步走前迹象开始显露,我们继续保持短多观点不变。操作上:前期多单继续持有,继续关注美盘豆油的上涨力度如何?(这会影响到b浪反弹的高度, 后期我们报告中要仔细分析一下美豆油的未来反弹高度对内盘马盘油脂商品上涨高度的影响程度)。

[SUMMARY]
• US soybean oil begins to show bullish signal, boosting confidence in long interest on China edible oils while Malaysia palm oil are hovering at high price levels.
• At the moment, edible oils are generally showing indications of the coming trend.
• We maintain short-term long position outlook.

[ACTION]
• Traders may continue to hold long position, while paying close attention to the strength of US soybean oil.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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