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Global Markets Analysis – 11 July 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


7.11日 周五 短线空单全部逢低平仓了结

昨天大陆内盘油脂商品早盘低开,在午后13:35时候,盘中突然形成高走,多头的前期小部队出现进场抢盘迹象,成交量有所放大,这一信号的出现,表明短线的下跌整理接近尾声阶段,短线的空单到了逢低平仓出局的时候了。

马盘毛棕榈油基准9月,昨日也是低开高走行情,在期价瞬间盘中跌破6月12日 的2361低点之后,尾盘中阳上涨2387收盘,关键技术位的争夺较为激烈,下方回落的空间收窄。

美盘豆油12月,周三中阴下跌,下破原下降通道的下轨线,周四晚间小阳收盘,期价整体维持在通道的下轨线附近,并未远离太远。后市密切关注在该位置的具体表现。

小结:昨天提到美盘豆油又到多单接盘的价值区域的底端部位,内盘与马盘油脂商品昨天也曾出现大幅度的盘中反复现象,对于此信号我们要保持警惕,存在短线下跌调整到了尾声阶段的可能。虽然接盘多单现在进场略微显早,但短线的空单却应该考虑逢低平仓了结的时刻了。我们继续保持以往的操作思路—–“平多就是看空,平空就是看多”的连贯操作的一致性。个人认为从今天起,短空单子可逢盘中低点平仓了结出局。接盘进场多单略等一两日时间,待盘中急挫时候。激进操作者可少量进场尝试,稳健操作者略微观察时日,待盘中出现明确拐点再进场不迟。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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