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Global Markets Analysis – 11 March 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


11.03.2016 周五 美元指数昨晚大幅回落;油脂类商品期货上涨

昨天晚间美元指数剧烈波动,出现长阴下跌。期货大宗商品压力减轻,以贵金属黄金与白银为代表的商品上涨。外汇市场欧元美元同样出现长阴暴涨。油脂类商品上-美盘豆油5月合约,昨日晚间小阴K线,今天周五亚洲电子早盘中阳红盘表现,期价面临挑战短线前高2016年2月16日高点32.43机会,我们继续对美盘豆油保持短多思路。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1605主力合约,受美盘亚洲电子盘走高影响,今天周五盘中红盘上涨,其中豆油1605合约涨幅居前,呈现长阳补涨,期价逐步靠近前高2月15日5872附近。而棕榈油1605合约期价前几日就在前高点之上。我们对内盘油脂商品短线走势继续保持短多思维。

马盘毛棕榈油基准5月,今天第7个交易日震荡盘升,充分证明我们上周末时分平空反多操作的正确性。当前马棕榈期价已经站于日图表上所有均线之上,上方只有2月15日 2653高点的技术阻挡,我们第一目标暂定为该高点位置,继续保持短多观点。

小结:美元指数短线回落下挫,全球油脂类商品短线走高,我们继续保持短多思路不变。个人观点认为操作上:中长线多单继续持有,短线低位反手多单可稍乐观持有。下周后市关注对前高位置挑战情况。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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