Share

Tweet this

Dealing Desk Hotline

(603)-2181 8848

Global Markets Analysis – 11 November 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


11.11.2016 周五 内盘棕榈油期价涨停板;全球油脂类商品短多行情延续中

今天11月11日,美国大选后,奥巴马与特朗普已经开始商谈政权的交接事宜,我们暂时把美国大选这一政治事件关注目光收回一些,后市只关注特朗普的政治纲领与外交政策与经济政策对全球经济的影响深度。今天双11 还是个特殊日子-淘宝网双11交易额突破百亿,马云只用了6分钟时间便完成-中国民间的强大购买了可见一斑。

对油脂类商品市场来说,美盘豆油12月,昨日周四晚间中阳红盘上涨,今天周五亚洲电子盘又继续红盘上涨-一举收复了周三时候(美国选举当天)的中阴下跌,美豆油追随内盘与马盘短线走强态势开始显现。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1701主力合约,我们前几日就说过,内盘油脂商品是本波上涨的领头羊,是率先出现反身上行走强的,今天周五盘中,期价继续高开高走,特别是棕榈油1701合约,今天上午收盘前还以涨停板报收(创新高), 内盘油脂商品的反弹上行走势延续中,新进多单继续持有。

马盘毛棕榈油基准1月,在昨日周四盘中红盘中阳表现之后,今天周五早盘又继续跳空高开,短线的反弹上行走势凌厉,更符合我们早先时候就提到的“第三主升浪”行情的走势,由于今天期价上涨速度过快,创新高3089令吉特,这是2012年以来从未见到过价格,单日巨大的涨幅难免会引起部分多单逢高获利兑现情况的发生, 虽然存在期价剧烈波动的局面,但我们短多观点不变,多单继续持有。

小结:全球油脂类商品短线反弹上行走势,在内盘与马盘油脂商品带动下,期价上涨出现报复性加速迹象,我们更早时候预测的“第三大浪”主升浪仍在延续中,我们继续保持中长短各周期的看多观点不变,观点认为具体操作上:前期新进多单乐观持有(相比本周三与周四谨慎态度更乐观一些)。

[SUMMARY]
• Global edible oils are undergoing an upward reversal, lead by China and Malaysia markets.
• We maintain our bullish outlook on the short, medium and long-terms.

[ACTION]
• Traders may maintain existing and newly initiated long positions.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

Subscribe to OPF Blog via Feed Reader or Email
 

DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






Share and Enjoy:
[del.icio.us] [Digg] [Facebook] [Google] [Mixx] [MySpace] [Twitter] [Windows Live] [Yahoo!] [Email]

Post a Comment

Displayed next to your comments.

Not displayed publicly

If you have a website, link ti it here

PLEASE NOTE:

OPF reserves the right to delete comments that are snarky, offensive, or off-topic. If in doubt, read our Comments Policy.


SiteLock