Share

Tweet this

Dealing Desk Hotline

(603)-2181 8848

Global Markets Analysis – 12 August 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


12.08.2016周五 内盘豆油遭遇空头主力打压略显恐慌

美盘豆油12月合约,期价向上突破压力线的阻挡之后,期价仍小幅走高,随后短线角度只要不出现大的阴K线,我们则继续以反弹上行的短线观点对待,同时在这关键技术位置附近我们内心深处要提前保持一份警惕心态,谨防美盘豆油“逗你玩”的假突破走势,这点是我们需要提醒大家的。

中国大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1701主力合约,在昨日周四盘中就提前显现出了这种担忧的必要性-豆油1701主力合约,在昨日盘中上涨乏力犹豫时刻,空头主力趁多头不备率先主动进场打压,高开低走的吞没阴K线表明空头主力始终在虎视眈眈,从来也没有死心,单从内盘豆油昨日盘中的表现来说,多头主力随后期价若不能收复昨日的失地,后市存在上涨动能衰竭的可能,这点要引起我们散户朋友的注意(我们也只好多单减仓了)。内盘棕榈油1701主力合约,昨日周四盘中虽然空头主力尚未发力打压,但减仓下行的盘面语言-表明部分短线多头有出逃迹象。(豆油是增仓下行-空头进场打压)。

马盘毛棕榈油基准10月,昨日周四盘中十字星表现,长下影线的出现表明盘中也曾一度出现恐慌,后在多头主力护盘情况下局势才有所好转,未被内盘油脂商品昨日的疲软走势而拖累。今天周五盘面,期价延续高开高走态势,期价创2个月以来的新高,表明马盘棕榈油仍在惯性上冲中,多单谨慎持有。

小结:美盘豆油突破关键技术位走势正在验证中,在此关键时刻,内盘油脂商品在反弹上行过程中-昨日却突然率先出现盘中恐慌情绪,在空头打压与短多获利盘出逃双重压力下以中阴K线下跌收盘,内盘油脂商品后市短线若不能收复昨日的失地,则盘面有走坏苗头,(特别是内盘豆油1701合约)。对马盘毛棕榈油来说,要时刻堤防受到内盘油脂商品走弱的拖累影响,不可大意。观点认为具体操作上:内盘油脂商品后市短线若不能快速收复失地则短线激进交易者可逢高减持多单,中线稳健交易者可密切关注美盘下周初走势动向,待短线行情更为明朗后再做出具体操作。对马盘毛棕榈油上多单持有者也要保持警惕心态,谨防受内盘油脂商品走势拖累而令前期多单利润受到损失,短线敏感交易者可适量随期价上涨,逢高减仓部分多单,个人根据自己的操作周期上的不同,分别对待自己持仓仓量。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

Subscribe to OPF Blog via Feed Reader or Email
 

DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






Share and Enjoy:
[del.icio.us] [Digg] [Facebook] [Google] [Mixx] [MySpace] [Twitter] [Windows Live] [Yahoo!] [Email]

Post a Comment

Displayed next to your comments.

Not displayed publicly

If you have a website, link ti it here

PLEASE NOTE:

OPF reserves the right to delete comments that are snarky, offensive, or off-topic. If in doubt, read our Comments Policy.


SiteLock