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Global Markets Analysis – 12 December 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


12.12.2016 周一 内盘油脂类商品多头主力抵抗;马盘公共假期停盘

12月12日周一,在前期欧佩克石油输出国组织统一减产120万桶/日基础上,上周六周边非欧佩克产油国也达成一项协议-消减原油日产量55.8万桶。该协议旨在减少全球原油总供应量,提振油价,以帮助2年来受原油价格暴跌受到损失的经济体。受此利多消息影响,美盘原油连今天周一早盘大幅跳空高开高走,间接提振了周边植物油市场。

美盘豆油1月合约,今天周一亚洲电子盘小幅跳空高开,截止到目前以小阳K线红盘表现,在短线下挫整理2日之后,不排除今天晚间时候出现期价反复现象。

大陆内盘油脂类商品豆油与棕榈油1705主力合约,受全球利多盘面情绪影响,今天周一上午盘期价低开高走,盘中多头主力积极护盘,多头主力顽强的抵抗性心态还是比较强烈,由此看出本波回落整理我们可定义为“强势回落整理行情”,我们暂时以短空的谨慎心态对待。

马来西亚12月12日星期一是默罕默德先知降世日,因公共假期,马盘毛棕榈油停盘一天无交易。

小结:全球国际原油市场利多消息频出,提振周边市场油脂类商品走势。在美盘、内盘、马盘油脂类商品短线回落整理3天左右,今天周一油脂类商品盘面上出现多头抵抗行为(特别是内盘油脂类商品),我们在整体保持短空的回落整理观点不变前提下,在具体操作上更加提醒了我们要更谨慎一些-激进型空单一定不能贪婪, 见盘中低点时候尽量平仓,耐心等待本波回落整理行情的结束,后期油脂类商品的期价反复现象还要持续一段时间。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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