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Global Markets Analysis – 12 December 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


美盘豆油1月合约,上周四12月7日期价受到下方上升趋势线的有效支撑止跌企稳,昨日周一晚间小阴K线表现–当前美豆油处境非常尴尬,下方有上升趋势线的支撑,上方有层层空头排列的均线压制, 期价在左右为难中进行超跌之后的修复动作,我们暂时以弱势的短线反弹观点对待。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油 棕榈油1805主力合约(或1801),今天周二早盘红盘上涨,空头主力的杀跌动能损耗殆尽,今天中阳K线的表现–盘中期价出现止跌企稳“雏形”, 多头主力信心略有显露, 我们短多观点对待。

马盘毛棕榈油基准2月,昨日周一盘面中阴K线下跌表现,期价创出近期新低。 今天周二早盘受美盘 内盘油脂商品上涨提振下,期价早盘跳空高开高走–不排除昨日的疯狂下挫是主力“挖了一个坑”的空头陷阱,我们不被主力忽悠,继续以超跌之后的反弹观点对待。

小结:美盘豆油反身上行走势雏形显现,内盘油脂商品多头主力信心有所恢复, 这种利多情绪间接传导到马盘棕榈油上,对油脂商品来说,我们继续保持低位拐点的观点不变, 操作上:前期被套多单继续持有,同时密切关注美盘豆油后续的发力情况。

• US soybean oil rebounded obviously and continued to move upward.
• The buying interest in China edible oils increases, causing Malaysian palm oil went up indirectly.
• Our long outlook remains as the market is expected to rebound.

• Traders may continue to retain long positions and pay close attention to the movement of US soybean oil.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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