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Global Markets Analysis – 12 January 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


12.01.2017 周四 油脂商品做多人气有所聚集 多单继续持有

美盘豆油3月合约,当前期价上涨至我们前期报告中第一红色圆圈顶部位置(原上升趋势线位置),虽然期价上涨是以小阳K线震荡上行,只要这种短线走势延续中,我们继续保持回落整理触及低点支撑位后的反弹上行观点不变,耐心等待期价上涨加速盘面发生。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油, 棕榈油 1705主力合约,继三颗红小兵K线上涨之后,今天周四盘中期价略有停顿,但只要今天期价下跌幅度不抹杀前三天的上涨幅度太多,我们就继续短多观点对待。另外内盘其他大宗商品–贵金属黄金, 白银, 有色金属铜 锌,化工商品橡胶, 甚至黑色金属以及建材商品, 螺纹钢, 玻璃, 煤炭等商品期价反弹走势明显,这在一定层面上提振内盘多头主力的做多信心。

马盘毛棕榈油基准3月,期价横盘波动震荡延续中,期价始终维持在原横盘区间内,短线的强势特征依旧,继续等待美盘, 内盘油脂商品后续走势给予马盘棕榈的提振效果。

小结:美盘豆油拐点酝酿之后的反身上行走势逐渐展开,唯一遗憾的始终不见中阳以上的长阳K线给予更有力的支持,从这几天的美盘走势观察分析–我们会逐步考虑本波b浪反弹的高度问题上来, 关于这一焦点问题,我们会在明天报告中给予说明。 具体操作上: 前期多单继续持有。

[SUMMARY]
• US soybean oil begins to gather momentum for an upward reversal, although technical indicators are not giving strong enough support.

[ACTION]
• Traders may continue holding long position.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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