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Global Markets Analysis – 12 March 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


12.03.2015 周四 油脂商品略微止跌 但回落调整 仍不够充分

昨日美元指数继续保持惯性上冲,盘中创自从2003年来 10几年新高100.06,中线的走强迹象明显,短线上期货市场大宗商品承压严重。技术观察美元指数短线走势,由于近期上升斜率教陡峭,后市短线存在一定的冲高回落技术调整要求。

国际原油继续保持小幅横盘整理,盘中下跌幅度不大。其中纽约原油继续围绕日图表上几乎粘合的均线处窄幅震荡,期价波动于50.00左右(正负2美元),短线横盘震荡走势明显。

美豆油5月合约,上周阴K线快速下跌后,近2日短线企稳,下跌幅度收窄,期价在31.00位置勉强红盘报收,虽短线下跌幅度变小,但真正意义上的完全调整到位还不够充分,我们继续保持下探回落整理短线观点看待。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油、棕榈油1505合约、马盘毛棕榈油基准5月合约,二品种继续跟随外围市场短线疲软走势运行,虽昨天和今天短线下跌略有收敛,但盘面显示调整也不够充分,缩量回落整理行情延续中。

小结:油脂类商品短线角度的下探整理仍进行中,盘中未出现明显的止跌反弹信号,在信号出现前,我们继续保持短线的疲软偏空观点看待本次回落。后市密切关注下方回落空间的大小。个人观点认为稳健者继续观望,短线激进者延续逢高短空操作手法,继续日内空单见好就收,建议日内了结。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 










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