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Global Markets Analysis – 12 October 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


12.10.2016 周三 关注夜间凌晨时分;美国农业部最新报告

据最新消息,美国大豆截止10月11日已经收割44%,收获季节的忙碌关注正在紧张进行中。美黄豆连受收获压力继续小幅横盘整理。美豆油12月合约也在等待美国农业部的最新数据给出走势指引,继续密切关注基本面最新消息。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1701主力合约,随着天气不断开始变冷,国内棕榈油的消费份额开始被豆油消费份额挤占(气温下降 棕榈油消费降低),大陆内盘昨日盘面上豆油强而棕榈弱已经有所体现,但国内极低的棕榈油库存量将支撑下方的回落空间,我们继续保持短多思维,本周一与周二所进少量多单继续持有。

马盘毛棕榈油基准12月,昨日周二盘中高开高走中阳报收,今天周三盘中依然红盘表现,日K线图表上40天均线附近的支撑力度还是较强,我们继续短线多单谨慎持有(多单止损位就设置在40天均线下方X点;不破不出)。

小结:国际原油期价走高,美盘豆油受基本面不确定因素影响尚在犹豫,建议密切关注美国方面具体报告数字的出炉。观点认为操作上:少量多单持有。

[SUMMARY]
• Global crude oil advanced, US soybean oil faces uncertainty.
• We shall wait for US data to be released.

[ACTION]
• Traders may maintain long positions in small amounts.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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