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Global Markets Analysis – 12 October 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


12.10.2017周四静待今日晚间美国农业部报告出炉

美国农业部今日周四晚间(北京时间周五凌晨)将有重要报告出炉,届时将会对油脂商品短线走势上有重要影响。美盘豆油12月合约,今天周四亚洲电子盘红盘上涨表现,单从技术层面来说,美豆油低位拐点(10月3日)之后的短线反弹走势,在技术层面未遭到破坏,我们继续以谨慎的短多观点对待。密切关注今日晚间美国基本面情况。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1801主力合约,昨日周三盘面期价走弱,今天周四红盘表现,期价略有收复,短线超跌之后酝酿反弹走势延续中,我们短线多单继续谨慎持有。

马盘毛棕榈油基准12月,受马来西亚棕榈油局最新报告偏空性质影响,前日 昨日期价走软。今天期价小幅上涨,截止到周四中午为高开的十字星表现,盘面交投不旺,在等待美盘市场基本面的指引。

小结:油脂类商品市场投资人士均在等待美国今日周四晚间农业部的报告出炉,该基本面情况会对油脂类商品的短线走势有重要影响,我们要给予警惕性的关注,谨防市场突发性风险。操作上:前期反手多单谨慎持有,万一出现不利情况我们会在第一时间改变操作。在重要报告出炉前,我们暂时以谨慎的短多观点看待。

[SUMMARY]
• As edible oil traders await for USDA report due to be released on Thursday evening, we are advised to exercise caution to potential market risks.
• We hold a short-term long outlook with high caution.

[ACTION]
• Traders may retain long positions but prepare to re-strategize should markets go against their trades.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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