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Global Markets Analysis – 13 December 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


13.12.2016 周二 油脂类商品期价反复;但不影响下挫回落整理行情的延续

美盘豆油1月合约,连续的4天阴K线表现,盘面上期价仍呈现震荡性下挫整理态势,回抽下方的均线支撑的整理行情延续中,我们继续保持谨慎的短空思维对待。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1705主力合约,昨日周一盘面上出现了较为剧烈的期价反复现象,盘中多头主力曾一度发力护盘上涨-想扳回下挫的“失地”,但下午盘的上影线表明依旧力不从心。今天周二盘中又阴K线表现,期价的震荡性回落整理仍在延续中,虽然内盘多头主力还未死心-但我们依旧短空观点不变。

马盘毛棕榈油基准2月,昨日周一因公共假期停盘一天后,今天周二盘面继续跳空低开,期价小幅下挫整理走势延续,短线激进型交易者空单继续持有。

小结:美盘豆油短线的回落整理行情延续中,内盘油脂商品上虽然昨日周一盘面出现期价剧烈反复,但不改短线角度的回落整理走势。马盘毛棕榈油震荡性下挫走势依旧。整体来说,油脂类商品的回落整理行情仍进行中,后市短线我们依旧保持谨慎的下挫整理观点对待。观点认为操作上:激进型交易者短线空单继续持有,遇盘中急跌可空单逢低减仓,在调整动能未衰竭前-本波回落整理行情还要延续一段时间。

[SUMMARY]
• Short term price correction condition continue in US soybean oil and China edible oil despite China market shown higher price volatility movement on Monday. Malaysia palm oil market downward with higher volatility condition remained.
• Short term uptrend correction views could remained and traders could pay close attention to following uptrend correction movement in edible markets.

[ACTION]
• Traders with higher risk appetite may maintain previous short position and take opportunity to close position.
• Current uptrend correction condition could remained until market shown decreasing sign in current correction momentum.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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