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Global Markets Analysis – 13 February 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


13.02.2017 周一 马来西亚棕榈油局公布数据利空 期价阴K线走低

上周五马来西亚棕榈油局(MPOB)发布数据显示:1月底马来西亚棕榈油库存154万吨,数据略高于此前市场分析师们所预测的149万吨。而棕榈油出口量小幅减少,仅 棕榈油1月份产量为128万吨 环比减少13.4%。整体报告中性偏空。受不及预期的偏空情绪影响—–马盘棕榈油基准4月,今天周一早盘期价走弱,截止到下午以中阴K线表现,期价有多走低。

美盘豆油3月合约,今天周一亚洲电子盘也呈现中阴K线下跌走势,给大陆内盘马盘油脂商品带来不利影响。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油,棕榈油1705主力合约,今天周一早盘刚开始还红盘阳K线表现,后在马盘开盘后以及美盘电子盘的疲软影响,内盘油脂商品今天也出现期价下跌现象,截止到下午2点30分,期价呈阴K线表现。

小结:马盘棕榈油期价走低,美盘豆油萎靡,拖累内盘油脂商品期价走软—-今天周一油脂商品盘面上出现不同程度下跌,我们保持谨慎心态对待,后市若期价再度下跌则盘面堪忧,考虑到今天期价下挫幅度还不是很大(尚未完全彻底的破坏前期走势),我们建议再多观察一天油脂商品的明天表现,操作上:上周初多单谨慎持有,具体情况,是否考虑有多单止损的必要—-我们明日再定(当前盘面有点人心不稳)。

[SUMMARY]
• As Malaysia palm oil trends down and US soybean oil weakens, China edible oils follow suit.
• Edible oils fall at uneven pace, prompting our high caution.
• Given the relatively small drop, it is advisable that we observe the performance of edible oils tomorrow.

[ACTION]
• Traders may with high caution hold on the long position iniated last week.
• We may consider the need for a stop loss mechanism tomorrow.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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