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Global Markets Analysis – 13 July 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


美国农业部(USDA)昨日周三晚间公布7月份供需报告:美国2017/2018年度大豆播种面积预估值8950万英亩,与6月份预估8950万英亩保持不变(中性)。2017/2018年度大豆总产量将达到42.60亿蒲式耳,高出6月份美国农业部预测值500万蒲式耳(略利空)。 大豆单产数值未变仍为每英亩48.0蒲式耳。美国农业部将2016/2017年度大豆期末库存调低至4.10亿蒲式耳,较上月预测值调低了4000万蒲式耳(略利多)——整体分析昨日晚间报告基本呈现中性略利空含义。最新天气方面—–美国中西部地区周二周三有零星降雨,局部地区中到大雨。美盘黄豆连昨日周三晚间冲高回落中阴K线报收,结束了前期11连阳红盘飙涨走势,今天周四亚洲电子盘美大豆又呈现跳空低开低走中阴表现。美盘豆油12月合约,昨日小阴K线表现之后,今天亚洲电子盘又继续小阴走势——短线反弹走势也出现了“低头”苗头。




• Reversal signals seem to have appeared amidst the short-term rebound of edible oils.
• In view of Thursday’s market conditions, it is advisable to secure profits on remaining long positions.

• Traders may liquidate long positions.
• Aggressive traders may initiate short positions.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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