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Global Markets Analysis – 13 June 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


13.06.2017 周二 油脂类商品多单继续持有

美盘豆油7月合约,在连续错列的2根中阳K线反弹上涨之后,昨日周一晚间以中阴K线收盘——当期价靠近上方60天均线位置时候,在这一关键技术位比较容易出现期价反复现象,该现象为正常现象(表明多空主力在关键技术位置都比较敏感,多头会发力上攻,空头会强力拦阻厮杀中),我们只要关注前一根阳K线的阵地不被阴K线吞食与否?只要前阵地仍能保留住,我们则继续短多看待。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1709主力合约,昨日周一盘中红盘阳K线上涨,尤其棕榈油1709合约长阳K线,昨日涨幅2.59%。今天周二盘面虽出现小阴下跌,但期价仍在昨日阳K线右上角范围内,属于合理范畴,继续短多观点对待。

马盘毛棕榈油基准8月,今天周二早盘开盘高开,曾一度红盘表现,后在内盘油脂商品小阴K线走弱影响下,也出现期价下滑,我们期待中的“补涨”现象没有发生,马盘棕榈油独立性格的一面又开始显露,只要马盘棕榈不再创出新低,可不必过于担忧。

小结:美盘豆油准备上攻60天均线的阻挡,此刻期价出现一定程度的反复,只要前一根阳K线不丢失阵地,我们继续以上攻态势对待,保持短多思路不变。操作上:前期接盘多单继续持有,耐心等待后市上方空间的真正打开。(补充:心存疑惑的部分散户朋友可多加一层操作:日图表观察,美元指数存在技术反弹欲望,可短空贵金属黄金,然后与油脂类商品的多单,形成跨品种套利模式,此操作为双保险)。

[SUMMARY]
• As US soybean oil prepares to break above the 60-day moving average, futures prices continue to fluctuate.
• We maintain a short-term long position outlook.

[ACTION]
• Traders may hold onto their long position and wait for the upside to expand.
• Traders who feel uncertain may short gold to hedge against the downside of long position on edible oils.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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