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Global Markets Analysis – 13 March 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


周四 美盘回落明显 马盘跟随 内盘抵抗

美盘黄大豆继3月10日,技术走势上形成“吞没”形态后,已经连续2日回落整理,调整迹象非常明显,美豆油也紧随其后,昨日晚间再次下跌,2品种调整态势逐步清晰起来,由于日图表均线系统已经上穿成功,并且转为多头排列,因此我们把这3天的下跌定义为回抽确认整理,由于均线的多头排列,那下跌的过程就表现为抵抗性下跌,期价在下跌过程中肯定不会一帆风顺,必定会出现期价反复现象。

马盘毛棕榈油昨日低开低走,盘中出现下跌,终盘以中阴K线收盘,短线的回落整理也出现苗头,(时间上晚美盘2天)后市仍将继续保持回落来确认下方多头排列的均线系统支撑的有效性,至于回落到那根均线位置方能企稳,当前还不明确。

大陆内盘油脂商品,多头盘中护盘迹象较为明显,未出现明显的阴K线,更多的表现为高位震荡走势, 若美盘和马盘回落到一定幅度,内盘油脂必定会出现跟随性补跌,因此操作上仍属于逢高多单派发出局阶段。

美原油继续保持回落整理走势,已经连续多日震荡下行,为油脂类商品提前预演了后市发展走势图像, 昨天报告中文字讲述看不明白的朋友,可参照美原油图表图形理解那段3浪结构所描述的文字含义。

小结: 美盘回落明显,马盘紧紧跟随, 内盘发力抵抗,(该抵抗后市发展为无效抵抗的概率非常大)。 整体油脂商品短线上均出现不同程度的冲高回落,均符合我们前期屡次提醒的预期,后市将继续保持回落态势,回落幅度目前不明朗。我们昨天已经提过, 散户操作者按照自己本人的操作风格,直接对号入座,今日不再复述。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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