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Global Markets Analysis – 13 November 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


13.11.2014 周四 油脂商品震荡依旧

国际原油继续保持中短线的惯性震荡下行走势,在未明显受到下方支撑走强前,对油脂类商品拖累作用仍不可小视。

美国大豆季节性收获接近尾声阶段,大豆总产量的历史性丰收已经是定局,甚至成为老生常谈的话题。技术上观察美盘黄豆连,期价在4年来低位震荡,在收获季节的10月份期价基本上已经探明底部,900美分一线的价格支撑力度明显。

油脂类商品受美大豆收获季节的新豆上市压力,以及国际原油的疲软,长线角度的底部区域仍在大震荡中。短线上观察油脂类各个商品,仍处于弱势下的震荡横盘成交密集区内,在未明显基本面得到改善前,此震荡走势恐仍将延续一段时间,其中不排除短线上仍有下探的要求, 但下方空间已经十分有限。

小结:油脂类商品大区间底部区域震荡,期价若有反复,跳跃式波动不稳定,多空主力换手频繁,但趋势性节凑不明显,尚未呈现出明显的”反转”走势,在黎明前最黑暗的时候,既然多空主力在悄悄转换持仓结构,那散户朋友则可场外耐心观望,在走势不明朗前仍然以静制动为首选上策。 已经少许接盘多单提前设置好止损静观市场变化, 震荡无趋势下行情仍然建议多看少动。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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