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Global Markets Analysis – 13 November 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


13.11.2015 周五 油脂商品下探寻底进行中;密切关注止跌企稳机会

美元指数昨日周四晚间冲高回落,中阴K线留长上影线,表明上方存在一定的技术压力,若后续再出现下跌,则表明短线回落整理将展开。

美盘原油市场,当前短线市场连续7连阴下跌,期价重心下移走势明显,拖累全球油脂商品。

美盘豆油12月合约,昨日周四晚间小阳K线收盘,但短线的下探寻底整理走势仍未出现明显止跌信号,密切关注其探底后转强信号的出现。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1601主力合约,豆油1601短线出现多头护盘迹象,下跌幅度较小,昨日今天小阳K线表现。内盘棕榈油1601震荡单边下行短线走势明显,期价离前低(8月27日)低点越来越近,考验前低支撑是否有效进行中。

马盘毛棕榈油基准1月,期价仍呈跳跃式波动,短线走势无连贯性,仍属于区间内的上下无序震荡,表明多空主力短线在小区间内争夺激烈,鹿死谁手?建议继续关注。

小结:全球油脂商品疲软态势气息仍存,在美国大豆最后几天收割尾声,当前全球油脂商品这种走势仍属正常,在后市基本面未发生大的变化前,当前的短线纠结走势恐仍将延续几日。耐心等待市场人气的聚集。个人观点认为中长短线多单继续持有不动,以静制动关注盘面新的变化,油脂商品的下方放空间越来越窄,无仓单操作者等待市场的逢低买进机会。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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