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Global Markets Analysis – 14 December 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


14.12.2016 周三 油脂类商品短线走势无新意;继续整理观点对待

美盘豆油1月合约,短线角度期价4连阴下挫,当前期价回落到下方20天均线处,虽然期价下跌幅度不是很大,但下行整理态势依旧较为明显,我们继续保持短空观点看待。

内盘油脂类商品豆油与棕榈油1705主力合约,在多头主力的顽强抵抗护盘情况下, 内盘油脂呈现出横盘震荡式整理,短线走势上无新意,我们继续保持强势整理观点不变。

马盘毛棕榈油基准2月,在昨天周二盘中红盘表现后,今天周三早盘低开高走,继续中阳红盘走势,马盘棕榈上也出现不同程度的短线多头护盘迹象,期价下跌欲望不是很强烈,我们同样以强势的回落整理观点对待。

小结:油脂类商品短线角度的回落整理走势延续中,盘面上期价下挫欲望不强,符合我们早先报告中预期的“强势整理特征”,我们继续保持反弹上行之后的小幅回落整理观点不变。观点认为具体操作上:短线激进交易者可空单持有,盘中遇急跌空单可逢低减仓,而在阳K线上再空单持回-这种操作模式为短线“滚动操作”,只建议盘感强、思维敏捷、技术能力高的部分散户朋友操作。而稳健交易可继续场外观望。

[SUMMARY]
• Short term price correction condition remained in edible oil markets while previous uptrend correction views could remained.

[ACTION]
• Traders with higher risk appetite could maintain previous short position, take opportunity to close position and enter short position again when market rebound. (Following strategies applicable only for trader with sharp market direction sense, fast execution and strong in technical analysts capability trader)
• Traders with lower risk appetite could remain on the sidelines and continue to monitor the market movement.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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