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Global Markets Analysis – 14 February 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


14.02.2017 周二 油脂类商品多单持有 暂不考虑多单止损

美盘豆油5月合约,昨日周一晚间期价中阴K线下跌,今天周二亚洲电子盘小阳十字星表现,美豆油短线期价走势略显模糊,盘中上涨与下挫均力度不强,在南美大豆收获上市前,在阿根廷天气炒作过程中,美国方面仍在积极出售大豆,在这个复杂阶段,我们继续关注美豆油的后续走势情况。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1705主力合约,昨日周一中阴K线冲高回落下跌,期价下挫幅度较大,令上周末的反弹走势无功而返。今天周二盘面又小阴K线表现,昨日今天的增仓下行–为空头主力刻意增仓打压期价,外围周边油脂市场的利空消息对内盘油脂商品带来不利影响,我们心态上多保持一份谨慎。

马盘毛棕榈油基准4月,受马来西亚棕榈油产量恢复的潜在情绪影响,马棕榈4月上周五本周一期价连续2天出现大幅下挫,今日周二盘中期价低开高走以小阳K线抵抗,今天期价下方的些许买盘支撑护盘动作,令我们的担忧稍微缓解一些,继续关注明日表现。

小结:美国 马来西亚二方面最新的基本面均有一定程度利空消息公布(上周五公布的),令油脂类商品刚刚凝聚的做多热情突然瓦解,近2日连续的期价走低,令我们内心的警惕心态提高到新高度—鉴于马盘毛棕榈油今日盘中期价小阳K线红盘表现,我们暂且不做“多单止损”操作,仅以更为谨慎的心态对待当前盘面表现(暂时以静制动),继续关注本周后续走势情况如何演绎。

[SUMMARY]
• Long interest on US and Malaysia edible oils dissipates, following bearish data released last Friday, with both oils falling two straight days.
• We shall remain highly cautious.

[ACTION]
• Traders may close attention to the development of the markets before deciding to enter position.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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