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Global Markets Analysis – 14 January 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


14.01.2015 周三 短线的平多即是做空

美盘豆油周一的长阴下跌,短线的箱体上沿阻挡信号明确,至此美豆油仍返回箱体32.00-34.00内运行,回归到平台区间震荡走势。

大陆内盘豆油和棕榈油1505合约昨日中阴下跌,今天周三早盘继续保持下挫,盘面上受其它品种-有色金属、铜、锌的暴跌影响明显,特别是铜金属的跌停,令内盘期货市场空头氛围越加浓厚。

马盘毛棕榈油基准3月,同样出现短线的冲高回落整理迹象,虽然马盘基本面利多,但恐受外围整体油脂商品下跌拖累,短线的上行动能有所减弱。

小结:美盘豆油箱体阻挡,内盘与马盘油脂商品转弱,短线的下探整理不可避免。个人观点认为短线的多单平仓就是做空,(同理空单的平仓了结就是做多,连贯思维)为规避短线回落走势风险,前期短线接盘多单了结后,反手短空操作可进行,虽然下方空间不是很大,但短线的反手空与中长线的激进多单可在操作模式上形成反锁单,以规避震荡回落下的风险。其中内盘与马盘短线空单可参考美盘豆油3月箱体下沿位置可做相应的平仓了结。个人建议中长线稳健操作风格者场外观望。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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