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Global Markets Analysis – 14 July 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


14.07.2016 周四 技术反弹酝酿中;单边多单持有

美盘豆油12月合约,期价下挫整理之后,初步显露止跌企稳迹象,后市存在技术反弹要求-小荷才露尖尖角,随着期价的逐步走高,短线反弹上行行情酝酿中,随着美盘后期天气炒作预期增强,我们以短多观点对待。

中国大陆方面,现货市场油脂类商品基本保持平稳,其中天津港现货交货价格豆油6100元/吨、24度棕榈油5480元/吨;山东青岛港豆油为6050元/吨、24度棕榈油5600 元/吨;浙江宁波港豆油6050元/吨、24度棕榈油为5500元/吨;广州黄埔港豆油5950元/吨、24度棕榈油为5300元/吨。期货市场上豆油与棕榈油1609主力合约,昨日周三盘中红盘中阳上涨,反弹雏形展开,虽然今天周四盘面上期价小幅整理,但只要是在昨日中阳K线的右上角运行,我们继续保持反弹观点对待。

马盘毛棕榈油基准9月,在7月12日周二时候,期价创出新低2186令吉特,随后周三与周四盘面小阳十字星表现,期价的反弹上涨迹象虽然还不十分明显,但短线超跌之后的止跌企稳迹象初露,后市短线期价只要不下破周二长阴K线的低点,我们就以下挫回落整理之后的反弹上行酝酿观点对待。逢低空单平仓离场仍为上策。

小结:美盘豆油反弹上行酝酿中,马盘毛棕榈油短线拐点酝酿中,后市我们以反弹上行走势行情观点对待。观点认为具体操作上:原多空锁仓操作模式-空单逢低离场开锁之后,仅留单边多单,部分交易者可适当低位多单逢低补仓,后市我们以超跌之后的反弹上行观点对待当前短线行情,后期关注成交量是否有效配合反弹行情的后续发展。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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