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Global Markets Analysis – 14 June 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


14.06.2016 周二 美盘豆油在关键技术位遭遇打压;期价反弹受阻下挫

国际原油冲高后继续回落整理,美盘大豆高位出现获利了结迹象,美盘豆油7月合约-在前期短线反弹到关键阻挡位,连续多日突破技术阻挡未果,反弹上行动能衰竭后,昨日周一晚间,遭遇空头主力打压下期价中阴下跌,短线角度的反抽趋势走势暂告一段落,后市短线恐将受阻下挫,若今日晚间美盘豆油7月合约仍继续下挫,则后市短线走势将变得更为明朗,我们提前所担忧的市场行情将变为现实。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1609主力合约,昨日周一盘中高开低走,终盘以中阴K线收盘,其中豆油1609为减仓下行—为多头平仓了结出场。棕榈油1609为增仓下行-为空头主力进场打压。昨日内盘油脂商品出现技术走坏迹象,后市存在继续下挫要求,我们多单平仓离场后,建议短线空单逢高进场,短空观点对待后市。

马盘毛棕榈油基准8月,在内盘假期期价横盘震荡,多头主力减仓迹象明显。在昨日内盘开盘后-马棕榈长阴下跌,跌幅达到2.13%左右,空头主力主动出击迹象明显。我们前几日报告中就早早建议多单先平仓离场,以规避风险。但无短线放空建议,昨日马盘棕榈的再度走弱,后市短线的下挫走势变得更为明显,在美盘豆油受阻走势开始变得明显后-我们建议马棕榈油空单逢高进场,继续短空思维看待。

小结:美盘豆油昨日受阻回落,前期的反抽趋势线反弹上行走势终结,后市期价下挫概率加大,若今日晚间美豆油继续下挫,则短线方向指引将走向疲软。与此同时内盘与马盘油脂商品也开始出现期价下跌,特别是马盘棕榈油8月-更是早早提前出现疲软走弱迹象。对全球油脂类商品后市短线我们转为短空思路对待。操作建议:短线多单平仓离场之后,所有场外观望者-今日空单逢高进场,追随短线期价运行的轨迹操作。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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