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Global Markets Analysis – 14 March 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


14.03.2016 周一 继续短线角度对油脂类商品保持短多思维操作模式

美元指数短线回落整理延续中。美盘豆油5月上周五晚间中阳K线上涨,期价已经来到前高一线,本周初继续关注美盘豆油在前高一线的表现,若前高被向上技术突破,则后市短线看高一线。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1605主力合约,今天周一早盘豆油1605合约曾一度期价临近前高压力位,在上周五的长阳上涨之后,在前高的技术阻挡面前,今天内盘豆油期价上行出现犹豫迹象,部分多头主力出现逢高减仓行为,这种现象比较正常-前高阻力位前适当逢高减仓是一种较为可行的谨慎操作模式。但从整体盘面观察。我们认为本波短线的反弹上行动能仍未衰竭,后市还是存在挑战前高的可能。

马盘毛棕榈油基准5月,上周五时分中阳红盘上涨收盘,今天周一早盘跳空高开, 今天盘中也出现了谨慎的操作迹象,在前高2653的技术阻挡前,今天盘中见到高点2632,距离前高点仅仅21令吉特,从马盘的日内运行来看,同样也存在挑战前高的可能,我们继续关注是突破?是阻挡?我个人更倾向于前者。

小结:油脂类商品的短线反弹上行延续中,期价临近前高点位置后,盘中略微出现谨慎心态,在上行动能未出现明显衰竭前,我们继续保持短多思路不变。个人认为在操作上:中长线老多但继续持有,短线多单谨慎持有, 本周几个交易日继续关注在前高位置的具体表现。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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