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Global Markets Analysis – 14 November 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


14.11.2014 周五 美原油又创新低

美原油昨日晚间再创出新低,期价已经来到73美元/每桶,短线下方的支撑仍未找到。 通常情况下当国际原油跌倒85美元/每桶以下,油脂类商品的生物燃油效应就会减弱, 我们前几日一直提示,在国际原油下探未果前,对全球油脂类商品的拖累不可小视。

美盘豆油昨日同样出现小幅走低,虽然美黄豆属于强势整理,跌幅较小。但油脂类商品的疲软依然较为明显,美豆油12月合约,期价再次来到前低底部区域的下沿一线,短线的下挫震荡仍然未结束。

受美盘油脂商品滑落影响,大陆内盘与马盘油脂商品不能独善其身,追随性期价下跌明显,今天早盘低开低走,短线的区间震荡整理延续中。

小结:国际原油创新低,油脂类商品多头主力信心受创,短线的期价下滑不可避免,但回落空间依然不会很大。在下探震荡无趋势小周期,个人觉得无仓单稳健者继续场外观望,未平仓完毕的少量多单持有者设置好止损谨慎持有,短线的下行整理延续中。密切关注美盘豆油在箱体下沿31.52表现情况。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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