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Global Markets Analysis – 14 September 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


14.09.2015 周一 令吉汇率的下跌;马盘毛棕榈油红盘长阳上涨

美国农业部报告上周五公布,从数据可归纳总结为,美大豆单产上调,总产量增加,播种与收获面积不变,总库存略有下调。报告整体呈中性略偏空。报告公布后美黄豆周五出现盘中走低,后又逐渐从低点收起,终盘以长下影线十字星收盘,今天周一亚洲电子中又红盘运行,短线存在走强欲望。美盘豆油12月合约上周五走势与美盘黄豆类似,短线角度的横盘弱势整理延续中,盘中方向感不强(阴阳K线低位右侧横盘)。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1601主力合约,今天周一早盘低开高走,盘中抵抗性小幅走高,短线的反弹走势维持中,但反弹力度依旧不强,在美盘豆油走势不清晰状况下,内盘多空主力观望气氛较浓。

马盘毛棕榈油基准11月,上周五冲高回落,盘中有部分短线多头获利了结,今天周一又低开高走中阳红盘上涨,马盘棕榈油短线的反弹上行走势延续中。当前1美元兑换4.310令吉, 令吉特汇率的下跌意味着马来西亚棕榈油对海外买家吸引力增强,马盘棕榈油11月独立的反弹上行行情延续中。

小结:美盘豆油短线走势依旧较疲软,方向指引性不强。在无美盘明确的指引下,大陆内盘油脂商品同样走势较为模糊,期价波动不大,盘中多空观望情绪较浓。 当前短线角度只有马盘毛棕榈油反弹上行走势最为明显,随着期价不断震荡走高,马盘棕榈油期价重心上移,短线的反弹盘升行情延续到 13个交易日。短线角度继续以反弹上行观点对待,观点认为短线多单继续持有。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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