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Global Markets Analysis – 15 April 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


15.04.2016 周五 美盘豆油回落整理走势延续中

美盘豆油5月合约,昨日周四晚间小阴K线下跌,今天亚洲电子盘又阴K线表现,短线角度的回落整理行情仍在延续中,盘中并未出现较为明显的回调整理技术信号出现,我们继续保持短空思路对待。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1609主力合约,内盘多空主力情绪化交易较为明显,期价呈现出不规则的上下剧烈波动,强势的整理走势盘中表现明显,但考虑到美盘仍未真正回落结束,我们谨慎中短空思维不变。

马盘毛棕榈油基准6月,回落整理短线走势最为明显的品种,期价震荡性下探走低,走势规规矩矩,当前期价回抽到下方40天均线附近,继续保持短空思维以回调整理观点对待。

小结:油脂类商品的短线回落整理行情延续中。短线角度我们继续保持短空思维对待。这里要说明一点:我们短线短空思维对待,其目的不是期待期价下挫多少幅度? 下探多少不是我们要关注的重点,而回调结束后多单逢低接盘才是我们真正的目的。我们不能在期价波动中迷失了自己的操作思维。在调整未结束前,部分交易者要么场外观望,要么短线的空单追随期价运行轨迹做一个简单的回落行情,但空单不可过贪,适可而止为上策。建议耐心等待回调结束后新的操作模式才是我们的重点理念。(短线看空而中长线以筑大底之后的“反转”观点看待;这一观点保持不变)

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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