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Global Markets Analysis – 15 December 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong

15.12.2017周五 昨日晚间美盘豆油暂时在上升趋势线技术位置暂时受到支撑

美盘豆油3月合约(1月),昨日周四晚间阴阳十字星表现,期价在下方的上升趋势线位置暂时受到技术支撑–1月支撑位置在33.00整数关,3月合约支撑位置在32.20位置。 美豆油正在积极测试该位置的有效性,我们继续给予关注。

大陆内盘油脂商品 豆油 棕榈油1805主力合约(1801),今天周五豆油表现依旧较弱,盘面空头主力仍占据有利地形,多头主力显得毫无章法 ,反击力。 内盘棕榈油在马盘棕榈油红盘带动下,今天周五盘面强于豆油。

马来西亚政府最新消息,把棕榈油出口关税在2018年1月份调低至5.5%,此前12月份的出口关税为6%。 马盘棕榈油基准2月,在昨日低开高走的阳K线十字星红盘表现之后,今天周五盘面期价又继续红盘上涨, 马棕榈油在连续8连阴超跌之后, 略有止跌表现。

小结:美盘豆油继续对关键位置的技术支撑效力进行测试考验,该位置非常重要–一旦期价支撑有效,则第二次下探测试完成之后就会出现发力反弹。 若第二次下探测试支撑无效, 则会出现“再下一个台阶”的短线疲软走势。 在美豆油这第二次下探未下破趋势线之前,我们前期多单暂时谨慎持有, 密切关注今日晚间以及下周初美盘豆油的具体表现。

• We may pay close attention to the movement of US soybean oils, it is going to testing the technical support uptrend line for a second time.
• The downtrend is expected to continue if the market failed to be supported.

• Before US soybean oil test the support uptrend line for a second time, traders may retain long positions with cautions and pay close attention to the movement of US soybean oil start from tonight.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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