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Global Markets Analysis – 15 February 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


15.02.2016周一 油脂类商品短线反弹上行延续中

2月15日 是美国公共假期“总统日”,美盘停盘一天。美盘豆油5月合约今天亚洲电子盘舞交易,但从日K线图表上观察上周的短线走势情况来说,美豆油震荡盘升的反弹上行态势仍在进行中,继续以短多观点看待。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1605主力合约,在内盘传统假期“春节”长假过后今天开盘,因长假期内美盘豆油的走高表现,今天周一早盘豆油与棕榈油5月均大幅跳空高开补涨,盘中高开高走迹象明显,短线角度的反弹上行力度有所增强。盘中多头主力增仓进场迹象明显,继续保持短多观点。

马盘毛棕榈油基准5月,今天周一早盘高开,但盘中出现减仓下行阴K线-这为多头获利盘出逃迹象。今天周一,马来西亚船运公司将公布2月份棕榈油出口数据,对2月份出口数据下降的担忧是今天盘中部分多头提前出逃的主要原因。但考虑到期价仍在上周末的跳空缺口上方运行,我们继续以短多思路对待。

小结:今天大陆内盘油脂商品长假前过后首个交易日开盘,多头主力进出迹象高涨,盘中的补涨情绪明显,期价随之大幅走高。我们继续保持短线的短多观点。马盘毛棕榈油基准5月,由于今天有重要数据公布,因而盘中表现略显迟疑,但马币令吉特的疲软将制约马棕榈的下跌空间,我们继续对马棕榈保持短多观点。个人观点认为具体操作上:延续昨日周报告中观点-中长线多单继续持有,今天新进场的短线多单持有,在反弹动能未衰竭前,后市期价继续看高一线。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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