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Global Markets Analysis – 15 January 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


15.01.2015 周四 油脂商品期价反复

美盘原油中线下跌确认长期上升趋势线的支撑力度进行中,截止到目前为止,虽然盘中有瞬间的快速毛刺下破,但期价仍维持48.50一线,并未远离50.00目标为止很远,短线观察,国际原油的下方空间仍逐步被压缩,一旦确认支撑有效后,后市仍不排除触底反弹走势的可能。

美盘豆油3月合约,期价在上箱体受阻后,期价靠近下箱体后又明显存在一定支撑,当前期价在上有阻挡和下有支撑的平台箱体内继续运行,期价在箱体内震荡反复。

大陆内盘油脂商品今天周四早盘,豆油与棕榈油1505合约,低开高走,期价追随美盘出现反复,整体成交清淡,市场观望情绪较浓。

马盘毛棕榈油基准3月,今天周四早盘意外高开,盘中多头护盘迹象明显,马来西亚棕榈油局公布的利好消息令马盘毛棕榈油的做多意愿加强,密切关注马盘与其他美盘和内盘的联动效果。

小结:周四早盘,油脂类商品期价走势出现反复,虽有分化走势嫌疑,但长期角度的共进退仍为主基调,短线的分化可忽略。个人观点认为密切关注美原油是否触底反弹成功,在美豆油区间箱体震荡时期,稳健者继续观望,短线的空单与中长线多单的反锁仓单继续持有,后市一旦出现异常走势以市场出现明显信号后再开锁(平不利单)。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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