Share

Tweet this

Dealing Desk Hotline

(603)-2181 8848

Global Markets Analysis – 15 January 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


15.01.2016 周五 油脂类商品短线交易者多单可少量进场埋伏

美盘豆油3月合约,继周三晚间红盘上涨之后,昨日周四晚间又延续红盘上涨,盘中短线出现止跌企稳迹象,当前期价已经站于60天均线之上,短线走强迹象出现苗头,考虑到美盘豆油前期的回落整理时间已经不短(从12月7日起,呈现出3浪结构的回落整理,截止到今天28个交易日)技术调整的比较充分,恐后市下方回落空间已经被封堵,后市期价若能保持站于60天均线上方,在日K线图表上均线系统多头排列情况下,对期价将有一定支撑力度。密切关注今天晚间美豆油的表现。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1605主力合约,本波期价的短线回落整理,当期价回落到下方60天均线位置后,该位置存在一定的技术支撑,基本符合我们前期一直预测的回抽均线确认的技术走势,当盘中出现止跌企稳迹象(已经第4天在60天均线位置受到支撑横盘震荡)。前期我们逢高出场的多单在空仓观望多日后(从1月4日至今已经10个交易日),我们今天开始考虑适量多单逢低进场埋伏。

马盘毛棕榈油基准3月,该品种近期短线走势一直处于较强态势,期价始终给人一种宜涨难跌的印象。进过短暂的回落整理之后,后市期价存在继续走强态势。该品种也可适量短线多单低位接盘试仓。

小结:美国农业部公布数据之后,美盘油脂商品短线走势存在转强苗头,美黄豆连已经3日红盘表现,美豆油3月也2日红盘表现,等待今天晚间的具体表现。若能再继续走强,则油脂商品后市短线存在恢复前期反弹上行走势的可能。个人观点认为具体操作上:前期长线与中线老多单继续持仓不动。内盘与马盘短线场外观望的交易者中较为激进交易者今天可开始适量多单进场试仓,止损位就设置在60天均线下方X点处(X点依据自己个人的心理承受能量可自由发挥)。后市油脂商品短线存在走强欲望。我们当前操作思路暂时以短线交易为主。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

Subscribe to OPF Blog via Feed Reader or Email
 

DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






Share and Enjoy:
[del.icio.us] [Digg] [Facebook] [Google] [Mixx] [MySpace] [Twitter] [Windows Live] [Yahoo!] [Email]

Post a Comment

Displayed next to your comments.

Not displayed publicly

If you have a website, link ti it here

PLEASE NOTE:

OPF reserves the right to delete comments that are snarky, offensive, or off-topic. If in doubt, read our Comments Policy.


SiteLock