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Global Markets Analysis – 15 June 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


15.06.2016 周三 全球油脂类商品均大幅下跌;继续短空思路对待

前面报告中我们已经明确指出-纽约国际原油市场期价反弹后期出现冲高回落走势,后市存在向下的技术调整要求。美盘大豆多头获利盘平仓兑现了结,在一定程度是给美大豆带来压力。美盘豆油关键技术位受阻遭遇打压,期价反抽上升趋势线后转身下挫。马盘毛棕榈油更是早早就率先出现疲弱走势(6月7日),为油脂类商品中跌幅最大品种。大陆内盘油脂商品追随美盘豆油走势也连续三天阴K线表现。整体短线角度,全球油脂类商品均呈现暴跌下挫走势,虽各自下跌的基本面原因不尽相同,但短线方向性走势趋于一致。建议继续短空思维看待当前油脂商品后市。

当市场行情不太明朗时候,人内心是彷徨的-特别是短线操作角度。而一旦市场给出明确的运行方向指引后,市场又瞬间变得非常的清晰-“不识庐山真面目,只缘身在此山中”这句诗词描绘期货市场最恰当不过了。遇事不能急,好钢用在刀刃上-当美盘豆油真正给出短线期价走势指引后,我们能在第一时间做出反应就是胜利。就即便昨日盘中逢高建议短空,仍会追随市场走势有一定利润,虽然我们内心早几天就存在不良预感,但仍不能提前盲目靠猜测操作-在期货市场散户朋友保本远大于盈利。永远保本放在第一位。当前具体操作上:前期多单平仓出局后,反手短线空单继续持有,后市关注焦点转移到下方的回落空间上-下方的下跌幅度有多大?是我们主要关注对象。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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