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Global Markets Analysis – 15 June 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


15.06.2017 周四 当前国内油脂类商品现货市场基本稳定

美盘豆油7月合约,延续十字星波动震荡,期价仍徘徊于60天均线处,处于不上不下两难位置,短线走势略显模糊,不能形成有效的对油脂商品明确的方向指引,我们继续以弱势反弹观点对待。

国内油脂商品现货市场保持稳定——豆油大连地区出厂报价为5930元/吨,天津地区报价5940元/吨,广东地区出厂报价为5850元/吨. 24度棕榈油山东日照工厂报价5850元/吨,天津贸易商报价为5730元/吨,广州地区棕榈油报价为5680元/吨.。国内油脂类商品市场较为平静,基本面消息也较为匮乏,造成期货市场交投不旺。大陆内盘油脂商品豆油1709合约继续保持震荡上扬态势,棕榈油1709合约十字星波动徘徊。继续短多思维谨慎对待。(今日贵金属黄金白银市场出现长阴下跌)。

马盘毛棕榈油基准8月,本周二意外中阴下跌之后,昨天周三期价红盘修正小阳K线表现,今天周四盘面继续红盘,在没有美盘内盘油脂商品明确方向指引情况下,马盘棕榈油在前低位置上方波动徘徊。

小结:美盘豆油2根长阳反弹上行到60天均线位置后,短线走势上出现了“停顿”动作,未能给予内盘马盘油脂商品明确的走势信号,造成内盘马盘油脂商品期价反复,成交量上略显平淡,多空主力交投不旺,我们继续保持以静制动的短多思维不变。具体操作上:前期多单继续谨慎持有,继续关注美盘豆油60天均线位置的后续表现。

[SUMMARY]
• US soybean oil rebounds to touch the 60-day moving average but its momentum seems to have been disrupted.
• The lack a clear signal causes China and Malaysia edible oils to trade sideways in a muted market.
• We maintain a short-term long position outlook.

[ACTION]
• Traders may retain long position and pay close attention to the performance of US soybean oil.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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