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Global Markets Analysis – 15 March 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


15.03.2016 周二 继续关注油脂类商品在前高位置的技术表现

美盘豆油5月,昨日周一晚间又红盘中阳上涨,从3月2日以来的反弹上行走势已经延续了10个交易日,当前期价临近2.16日的前高点处-在该位置,后市存在2种可能。1.突破前高,期价继续往上走高一截。2.前高位置受阻,期价不能突破,受到多头减仓以及空头打压,行情转为再次下行。截止到今天周二为止,美盘豆油尚未给出明确的后市短线方向指引,我个人主观观点更倾向于前者,后市美盘豆油具体走势,尚待我们继续关注。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1605合约,当前期价震荡上行延续中,其中棕榈油反弹上行幅度要大于豆油,豆油1605合约期价仍处于(2月15日)前高点之下运行,本周昨天与今天内盘油脂商品短线走势出现谨慎心态,盘中多空主力在美盘豆油不确定是否突破前高技术位前,均保持谨慎,成交量下降。今天3月15日,明天我们将以9月合约为主力合约进行分析评论,当前内盘油脂继续关注美盘豆油的具体指引。

马盘毛棕榈油基准5月,当前短线走势继续依托日K线图表上多头排列的均线系统反弹上行,期价也临近前高(2月15日)位置,后市短线是否要突破还是要阻挡-也未给出明确答案,我们以谨慎心态保持短多思维,若盘中出现不利情况,可短多提前平仓离场。截止到今天是从3月3日以来反弹上行的第9个交易日。从明天开始我们将以6月合约为基准月。

小结:美盘豆油5月合约短线的反弹上行延续中,盘面走势良好,对前高的突破恐将一蹴而就,盘中丝毫看不出有反弹动能衰竭的迹象。内盘与马盘油脂商品近2日走势却显的小心翼翼,盘中多头未敢发力。在美盘情况不明朗前提下,我们暂且仍以短多思路对待。观点认为具体操作上:中长线多单继续持有,短线多单以谨慎心态持有。建议中长短操作者共同关注美盘后市具体动向。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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