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Global Markets Analysis – 15 March 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong

15.03.2017 周三 内盘马盘油脂商品 棕榈油品种上多头主力仍在顽强抵抗




小结:美盘豆油短线下挫态势延续中,内盘豆油紧紧追随。而内盘马盘棕榈油下行要求却没那么强烈,属于抵抗性追随,期价下滑幅度较小。另外马来西亚方面将在4月份调低棕榈油出口关税为7.5%,而此前3月份的棕榈油出口关税为8%。当前全球油脂类商品市场棕榈强豆油弱的盘面走势仍在延续中,我们继续关注棕榈油的后续表现,短线观点上:依旧以下挫的疲软态势整体观点对待(仅仅棕榈油下方空间略微看窄些)具体操作上:豆油品种上空单继续持有,棕榈油品种上空单遇阴K线急跌时候空单离场,而前期剩余的部分被套老多单继续持有,后市下挫整理完毕仍不排除期价还有一波“真正的反弹上行” 走势要求。

• US soybean oil leads China soybean oil to edge down, while China and Malaysia palm oil moderately slips.
• Malaysia cuts export tax from 8% in March to 7.5% in April.
• We shall pay close attention to the performance of palm oil.
• In the short-term view, we hold a short position outlook.

• Traders may retain soybean oil short positions.
• Traders may close-out short positions on palm oil technical indicators signal a steep decline.
• Traders who are holding long positions may wait for a rebound after the downward correction.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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