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Global Markets Analysis – 15 May 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


15.05.2017 周一 油脂商品低位多单轻仓持有 依旧执行部分多单逢高减仓操作

美盘豆油7月合约,5月10日上周三中阴受阻下跌之后,周四周五2天期价又略微收高,今天周一亚洲电子早盘继续小阳表现—美豆油短线走势依旧在60均线附近纠结徘徊震荡,整体期价变化不大,未出现大幅下挫或者快速拔高,短线呈小幅波动震荡态势。不排除受棕榈油强势的提振特征。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1709主力合约,上周四内盘棕榈油1709合约“一马当先”率先长阳飙涨,期价上穿60天均线的技术阻挡,短线反弹力度较为明显。今天周一盘面上,期价在长阳K线右上角位置波动徘徊。

马盘毛棕榈油基准7月,受马来西亚国内利多情绪影响,马盘棕榈油期价反弹上扬,期价站于60天均线上方,而下方的短期均线正在试图“金叉”上穿。今天周一早盘,马棕榈油高开低走小阴K线表现,前期超跌之后的低位反弹走势延续中。

小结:油脂类商品短线角度的反弹上扬走势延续中,期价在60天均线位置徘徊震荡,短期均线正在试图上穿,后市短线走势恐仍将维持这种状态,市场多空主力仍将在该位置奋力厮杀争夺该阵地。我们在继续保持短线反弹观点不变前提下,在操作上:继续建议少量多单持有,其中部分多单依然建议逢高派发了结兑现出局。

[SUMMARY]
• As edible oils stage a short-term rebound, futures prices continue to hover at the 60 moving-average.
• We maintain a short-term rebound outlook.

[ACTION]
• Traders may retain small number of long positions, and close-out some of those positions when prices are high.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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