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Global Markets Analysis – 15 October 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


15.10.2014 周三 油脂交投清淡 继续观望

美盘豆油在周一长阳后,昨日晚间冲高回落,果然期价走势持续性不强,短线仍处于横盘震荡阶段。按照往年经验,在美豆收获季节的新豆上市的10月份,应该出现一年当中期价的最低点,我们耐心等待下挫后的绝佳买入机会。

大陆内盘油脂商品仍低位区间震荡,短线走势模糊,今天上午早盘,豆油1501合约低开低走,棕榈油1501合约冲高回落带上影,原成交密集区内继续震荡,可操作性不连贯,场外继续观望。

马来西亚毛棕榈油基准12月,近几日期价小幅波动,前期的反弹力度在悄悄减弱,期价勉强维持在60天线上方,均线系统有粘合迹象,短线的震荡波动不可避免。路透社雅加达10月14日消息:印度尼西亚政府11月将连续第二月免征棕榈油出口关税,通过此举来增加与马来西亚棕榈油出口的竞争力,该举措对马盘棕榈油形成利空。

小结:全球油脂商品继续弱势震荡,期价在低位徘徊,虽然波幅有所收窄,但仍不排除短线上仍有一次下挫寻找支撑的可能。中长线趋势性多单耐心等待进场时机。短线操作以观望为宜。马盘前期反弹多单以60天线作为止损点,下破60均线短线多单止盈出局了结。大陆内盘油脂商品操作价值不大继续观望。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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