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Global Markets Analysis – 15 September 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


9.15日 周一 内盘马盘联袂上涨

继上周五美盘豆油12月红盘上涨长阳收盘后,探底回升态势基本明了。今天周一早盘的亚洲电子期价未发发生多大变化,截止到上午10时,传闻中的中国与美国签署的大豆购买协议情况还未明朗,购买数量金额仍然不详。

在美盘无多大新意情况下,大陆内盘与马盘油脂商品却表现出急不可耐的心态,二者联袂向上发起总攻。其中大陆内盘豆油与棕榈油1501合约开始挑战横盘区间的上沿箱体位置,其中棕榈油1501箱体部位为5270一线,若此位置被向上突破,真正意义上的反弹开始。马盘毛棕榈油基准11月,今天早盘走势良好,继续高开高走,连续2周的反弹走势清晰,后市只要不出现”高开低走的阴棒吞没”以及 “带上影线的阴锤头”k线出现,我们的观点上仍以反弹持续看待。

小结:美盘上周五的放量长阳上涨,给与内盘与马盘油脂商品多头主力信心,今天周一早盘,大陆内盘豆油和棕榈油开始挑战压迫已久的平台箱体上沿的阻挡,密切关注突破情况。马盘毛棕榈油一如既往的反弹延续中,截止到今天已经第10个交易上行中,期价接近40天平均线位置,在无明显盘中出现阻挡前,我们仍以均线空头排列下的短线反弹观点看待。个人观点认为内盘与马盘前期接盘多单继续持有。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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